Hurricane Milton has strengthened right into a 100 mph storm and is anticipated to develop into a significant hurricane later immediately. The NHC has now begun together with storm surge peak indications in its updates on Milton and from-the-off they name for between 8 and 12 toes of storm surge to affect Tampa Bay.
Right here, it’s price noting that whereas the NHC might be considering what may occur over the subsequent two days as hurricane Milton heads for the Florida Gulf Coast, it’s totally potential the storm surge heights indicated rise as Milton is anticipated to increase considerably in wind discipline phrases.
That has the potential to exacerbate the surge, pushing extra water up in opposition to Florida’s western shoreline.
The most recent NHC replace provides the next storm surge peak indications:
- Anclote River, FL to Englewood, FL…8-12 ft
- Tampa Bay…8-12 ft
- Yankeetown, FL to Anclote River, FL…5-10 ft
- Englewood, FL to Bonita Seashore, FL…5-10 ft
- Charlotte Harbor…5-10 ft
- Bonita Seashore, FL to Chokoloskee, FL…4-7 ft
- Suwannee River, FL to Yankeetown, FL…3-5 ft
The NHC mentioned there’s “a risk of life-threatening inundation, from rising water transferring inland from the shoreline, within the indicated areas in the course of the subsequent 48 hours.”
You’ll be able to see the height storm surge forecast heights beneath:
In latest hurricane Helene Tampa Bay skilled storm surge within the 4 to roughly 7 foot vary. However a peak of greater than 10 toes might flood a lot of downtime Tampa and a few meteorologists say the cities airport wouldn’t be protected at this peak.
As well as, the widespread 5 to 10 foot of storm surge might be damaging as nicely, with areas of the coast to the south of Tampa which have excessive concentrations of insured values and really low-lying coastlines.
It’s going to be price watching how the surge forecast develops as hurricane Milton intensifies additional and is then set to begin increasing, which is able to push doubtlessly important quantities of water up on the Florida west coast.
Landfall location can even be a storm surge driver, particularly for Tampa Bay and different inlets additional south.
We’ll hold you up to date.
Additionally learn:
– Hurricane Milton is biggest potential ILS market threat since Ian in 2022: Steiger, Icosa.
– Hurricane Milton forecast for costly Florida landfall. Cat bond & ILS market on watch.
